HUALU-HENGSHENG(600426) 德邦证券·2025-04-23 12:28Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company for the first time [1]. Core Views - The company demonstrates resilience in performance by leveraging volume to offset price fluctuations, showcasing its ability to navigate through industry cycles [28][29]. - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 34.226 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.903 billion yuan, up 9.1% year-on-year [29][32]. - The company is positioned as a leading player in the coal chemical industry, with a stable shareholding structure and significant production capacity coming online from its Jingzhou base [9][10]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The company’s stock price has fluctuated between 19.70 and 30.14 yuan over the past 52 weeks [6]. Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 9.046 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.3%, and a net profit of 854 million yuan, up 3.5% from the previous quarter [29][31]. - The company’s gross margin and net margin for 2024 were 18.7% and 12.2%, respectively, reflecting a slight decline compared to the previous year [34]. Production and Sales - The company’s production and sales volumes for key products in 2024 saw significant increases, with fertilizer, organic amines, acetic acid, and related products experiencing year-on-year sales growth of 44.5%, 12.6%, 116.7%, and 17.1%, respectively [5][12]. - The company’s production capacity is expected to continue expanding, with several projects coming online, enhancing its long-term growth potential [9][34]. Cost and Pricing Dynamics - The report notes that while coal prices have been declining, the overall cost pressures remain due to high raw material prices and weak terminal demand, leading to a contraction in product price spreads [20][21]. - The average prices for key raw materials in 2024 were reported as follows: coal at 835 yuan/ton, pure benzene at 8,274 yuan/ton, and propylene at 6,893 yuan/ton, with year-on-year changes of -4.2%, +14.4%, and -1.0%, respectively [22][23]. Long-term Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 4.192 billion yuan, 4.566 billion yuan, and 5.143 billion yuan, respectively, indicating year-on-year growth rates of 7.4%, 8.9%, and 12.6% [5][34].