Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [6][11]. Core Views - The company's performance in Q1 2025 exceeded expectations, driven by rising gold prices, with a revenue of 2.938 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 52.27% and a net profit of 659 million yuan, up 197.76% year-on-year [1][2]. - The average gold price in Q1 2025 was 2807 USD/ounce, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 38.3% [2]. - The company has made significant progress in resource expansion through exploration and acquisitions, adding 261.16 tons of gold resources in 2024, bringing total gold resources to 1446.16 tons [3]. - The company holds a 70% stake in the Haiyu gold mine, which is expected to contribute significantly to future production, with an anticipated annual output of 15-20 tons of gold [3]. - A partnership with Zijin Mining has been established to expand overseas operations, acquiring a 20% stake in Zhongrun Resources, which holds gold and zirconium-titanium sand mines in Fiji and Malawi [4]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts steady revenue growth, with projected net profits of 2.976 billion yuan in 2025, 3.251 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.308 billion yuan in 2027, corresponding to PE ratios of 20, 18, and 14 respectively [5][6]. - The financial projections indicate a revenue increase from 11.551 billion yuan in 2024 to 21.322 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 13.7% [5].
招金矿业（01818）：受益金价上行，利润大幅增长