CHINA PET FOODS(002891) 华福证券·2025-04-24 02:52Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% compared to the market benchmark within the next six months [15]. Core Insights - The company achieved a record high in annual performance for 2024, with total revenue of 4.465 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 394 million yuan, up 68.89% [1][3]. - The company's core brands are experiencing significant growth, particularly in the domestic market, where revenue from pet food has surged by 92% year-on-year, contributing to a robust overall performance [2][3]. - The company has successfully met its employee stock ownership plan targets, with a notable increase in profit margins and a strong performance in both domestic and international markets [3]. Revenue Summary - In 2024, the company generated total revenue of 4.465 billion yuan, with snacks (including canned food) contributing 3.1 billion yuan (up 5%) and pet staple food generating 1.1 billion yuan (up 92%) [2]. - Domestic revenue reached 1.41 billion yuan, reflecting a 30% year-on-year growth, while international revenue was 3.05 billion yuan, up 15% [2]. Profitability Summary - The company achieved a gross margin of 28.2% in 2024, an increase of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, with domestic gross margin at 35% and international gross margin at 25% [3]. - The net profit margin for Q4 2024 was 8.8%, up 3.3 percentage points year-on-year, while Q1 2025 saw a net profit margin of 8.3%, an increase of 1.9 percentage points [3]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 5.198 billion yuan in 2025, 6.088 billion yuan in 2026, and 6.989 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.4%, 17.1%, and 14.8% respectively [3][5]. - Net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 455 million yuan, 542 million yuan, and 632 million yuan, with respective growth rates of 15.7%, 19.0%, and 16.6% [3][5].