Investment Rating - The overall investment rating for the agriculture industry is "Positive" [6][10]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of agricultural investment opportunities following the release of the central government's No. 1 document, which highlights the need for comprehensive capacity regulation in the pig farming industry [5][19]. - The report identifies potential investment opportunities in the livestock and planting sectors, particularly focusing on companies with low valuations and strong growth potential [6][10]. Summary by Relevant Sections Livestock Industry - **Pig Farming**: The average price for pigs is 12.14 CNY/kg, a slight decrease of 0.16 CNY from the previous week. The average price for piglets is 29.24 CNY/kg, which increased by 0.62 CNY [5][19]. The industry is experiencing a gradual reduction in production capacity, with the number of breeding sows decreasing by 2.9% year-on-year [6][20]. - **Chicken Farming**: The average price for broiler chickens is 14 CNY/kg, reflecting a 0.3 CNY increase. However, the industry is facing challenges with profitability, as the average loss per chicken is 0.26 CNY [21][22]. The report suggests that chicken prices may remain volatile in the medium term due to high production levels [21][22]. - **Investment Recommendations**: Companies such as Zhongchong Co., Muyuan Foods, and Suqian Agricultural Development are rated as "Buy" due to their strong market positions and growth potential [3][10]. Planting Industry - **Seed Industry**: The No. 1 document promotes the industrialization of biotechnology in agriculture, which is expected to enhance the seed supply chain and improve the market environment for genetically modified crops [11][23]. The report gives a positive rating for the seed industry, highlighting the long-term investment value of leading companies [11][23]. - **Grain Prices**: Recent trends indicate that grain prices are likely to continue rising due to increased demand and reduced supply. The average price for corn is 2394 CNY/ton, and for wheat, it is 2531 CNY/ton, both showing slight increases [12][24]. The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in the planting sector, particularly in companies like Suqian Agricultural Development [12][24].

记者查阅四只基金此前发布的定期报告发现，无论是其2025年半年报披露的全部股票持仓，还是2025年三季报、四季报披露的重仓股持仓，均未出现过中 宠股份。 早在2025年四季度，乔迁的重点持仓就已经瞄向了新消费板块。量贩零食龙头万辰集团在2025年四季报新进入兴全商业模式优选、兴全新视野的前十大重 仓股序列，2025年末，两只基金对该股的持仓市值分别达到4.51亿元、3.07亿元。 同为偏成长风格的基金经理农冰立，在2025年四季度整体维持对新消费龙头的核心配置。其管理的景顺长城品质长青、景顺长城成长同行等均在四季度增 持了老铺黄金、泡泡玛特。此外，景顺长城成长同行还新买入了毛戈平。 在近期消费板块回暖的带动下，Wind数据显示，截至2月10日，今年以来，泡泡玛特股价涨超40%，老铺黄金股价涨超20%。 临近春节假期，国内消费板块在估值底部与复苏环境下迎来久违的反弹。 值得注意的是，A股宠物龙头公司中宠股份1月30日发布的《关于回购股份事项前十大股东和前十大无限售条件股东持股情况的公告》显示，截至1月23 日，知名基金经理谢治宇管理的兴全合润、兴全合宜以及基金经理乔迁管理的兴全商业模式优选、兴全新视野，均新进成 ...

临近春节假期，国内消费板块在估值底部与复苏环境下迎来久违的反弹。 值得注意的是，A股宠物龙头公司中宠股份1月30日发布的《关于回购股份事项前十大股东和前十大无限售条件股东持股情况的公告》显示，截至1月23 日，知名基金经理谢治宇管理的兴全合润、兴全合宜以及基金经理乔迁管理的兴全商业模式优选、兴全新视野，均新进成为公司前十大股东。按该股1月 23日收盘价计算，四只基金合计持股市值超8亿元。 早在2025年四季度，部分知名主动权益基金经理以及"固收+"基金经理就已经开始"埋伏"消费板块。部分机构提示，市场对今年物价修复水平存在分歧， 而物价温和回升是市场的一致预期，若今年实质性政策继续推出，有望带动物价水平明显改善，消费板块弹性值得重视。 兴全组队增持中宠股份 在近期消费板块回暖的带动下，Wind数据显示，截至2月10日，今年以来，泡泡玛特股价涨超40%，老铺黄金股价涨超20%。 公募提前埋伏传统消费板块 近期，以AI为首的科技成长板块和有色等贵金属板块进入宽幅震荡区间。随着春节假期临近，传统消费旺季热度逐步攀升，以白酒为首的"老登"消费板块 也迎来了触底反弹。 中宠股份披露的公告显示，截至1月23日，谢治宇管理 ...

智通财经APP获悉，申万宏源发布研报称，整体消费承压的背景下，宠物食品依然延续较强的增长韧 性，据久谦，2025年宠物食品行业天猫、京东、抖音线上合计GMV为307.1亿元，同比+10.2%(2024年 为13.5%)。淘天份额超半数，抖音增速领先。值得关注的是，中国宠物喂养正逐步步入科学喂养时代， 专宠专用需求(全生命周期分阶段精细化护理；分品种专用粮；分体型/毛长) 、主粮功能化(提高免疫 力、肠胃养护、毛发护理、骨骼强健等)、喂养结构改变—湿粮占比提高，将接力助推消费升级。 申万宏源主要观点如下： 短期：行业景气犹在，头部企业领先身位扩大 整体消费承压的背景下，宠物食品依然延续较强的增长韧性，据久谦，2025年宠物食品行业天猫、京 东、抖音线上合计GMV为307.1亿元，同比+10.2%(2024年为13.5%)。淘天份额超半数，抖音增速领先。 淘天平台25年GMV占比达51.4%。据抖音电商数据，25年抖音宠物行业市场规模同比+88%。 行业集中度加速提升，头部集中化趋势明显。25年中国宠物食品线上CR5、CR10、CR20分别为 25.3%、38.3%、51.9%，同比+3.4pct、+5.0pct ...

农林牧渔 农业行业周报 同步大市-A（维持) 资料来源：常闻 | 首选股票 | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | | 002311.SZ | 海大集团 | 买入-A | | 002299.SZ | 圣农发展 | 买入-B | | 300498.SZ | 温氏股份 | 买入-B | | 301498.SZ | 乖宝宠物 | 增持-A | | 002891.SZ | 中宠股份 | 增持-A | | 605296.SH | 神农集团 | 增持-B | | 603477.SH | 巨星农牧 | 增持-B | 旺季后或仍承压-行业周报（260126- 260201） 2026.2.3 【山证农林牧渔】养殖筑底去化，饲料 整合加速-【山证农业】农业行业 2026 年度策略 2026.2.2 陈振志 执业登记编码：S0760522030004 邮箱：chenzhenzhi@sxzq.com 徐风 执业登记编码：S0760519110003 邮箱：xufeng@sxzq.com 猪价在旺季后或存回调压力 2026 年 2 月 10 日 行业研究/行业周报 农林牧渔行业近一年市场表现 本周（2 月 2 日- ...

证券分析师 崔健 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2026.02.10） 宏观及策略研究 长期护理保险制度的国际经验——A 股市场投资策略专题 基金研究 关注春节假期消费，家居估值修复仍可期——轻工制造&纺织服饰行业周报 证 券 研 究 报 告 晨 会 纪 要 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 6 晨会纪要（2026/02/10） 晨会纪要（2026/02/10） 宏观及策略研究 公募 FOF 规模超过 2800 亿元，权益市场震荡回撤——公募基金周报 行业研究 长期护理保险制度的国际经验——A 股市场投资策略专题 严佩佩（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150520110001） 宋亦威（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150514080001） 靳沛芃（研究助理，SAC NO：S1150124030005） 1、长期护理保险（简称"长护险"）是为分散因长期失能而产生的财务风险，为需要持续性生活照料和医 疗护理的个人提供经济保障或服务给付的一种制度安排。长护险在实践中存 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 行业景气依旧，迎接科学养宠时代 ——2025年宠物食品行业回顾及2026年展望 ——宠物食品行业系列深度报告之八 证券分析师：盛瀚 A0230522080006 胡静航 A0230524090002 2026.2.9 投资案件 ◼ （2）中期：产品革新引领消费升级、需求升级有望接力。宠物食品行业正在进行消费升级。24-25年，猫粮、犬粮中高端价格 带（60-100元/kg）GMV增速均领先于行业。产品端：工艺革新、原材料进阶助推消费升级。中国宠物市场主粮变迁历程是国 产品牌竞争和进步的缩影，宠物行业的"卷"，体现为生产商不断进行工艺创新和原材料升级，去提供更好的产品。膨化粮（皇 家：早期占据消费者心智）→冻干粮（2009年朗诺公司推出中国首款宠物冻干食品，2017年在国内推出自有品牌"朗诺"）→ 鲜肉膨化粮（弗列加特：20年推出0肉粉高鲜肉膨化粮；麦富迪：21年推出barf天然粮）→烘焙粮（鲜朗：鲜肉烘焙粮开创者， 20年推出国内首款鲜肉烘焙粮产品；弗列加特：23年推出首款烘焙粮单品；领先：23年推出首款低温烘焙粮）→酥化粮。需求 端：科学养宠观念、宠物老龄化将继续助推消费升级。中国宠 ...

研 行 行业周报 业 关注春节假期消费，家居估值修复仍可期 ——轻工制造&纺织服饰行业周报 | 究 分析师： | 袁艺博 | | SAC | NO： | S1150521120002 | 2026 | 年 02 | 月 09 | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 轻工制造 | | | | | | | | | | | 纺织服饰 | | 投资要点： | | | | | | | | | | | 行业要闻  | | | | | | | | | 证券分析师 | | （1）九部门联合发文，打造春节消费盛宴。 | | | | | | | | | 袁艺博 | | | | | | | | | | | yuanyb@bhzq.com | | | | | | | | | | 022-23839135 （2）自 3 月 2 日起玖龙九大基地牛卡、瓦楞纸等纸种价格普遍上调 50 元/ 吨。 研子究行助业理评级 券 家居用品 中性 服装家纺 中性 | 证 中性 | | | --- | --- | | 纺织制造 中性 | 股份。 | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the durable consumer goods industry [1] Core Insights - The durable consumer goods industry is experiencing growth driven by various segments, including trendy toys, new tobacco products, home furnishings, and AI technologies [1][2][3] - The report highlights the expansion of brands like Bubble Mart and the collaboration with Takara Tomy to enhance IP development in the trendy toy sector [1][8] - The new tobacco segment shows long-term growth potential, with companies like Philip Morris International reporting significant revenue increases [2][14] - The home furnishings market is showing signs of recovery, particularly in the second-hand housing market, while new housing remains under pressure [15][16] - The report emphasizes the importance of adapting to regulatory changes in the personal care and AI glasses sectors, which are expected to reshape marketing and distribution strategies [19][23] Summary by Relevant Sections Trendy Toys - Bubble Mart is expanding into the Japanese market and collaborating with Takara Tomy to enhance its IP development [1][8] - The company reported that it aims to sell over 400 million products across all IP categories in 2025, with significant growth in registered members and store numbers [9] New Tobacco - Philip Morris International's revenue reached $40.6 billion in 2025, with a 7.3% year-on-year increase, driven by a 15% increase in new tobacco product sales [14] - The market for heated tobacco products is expected to accelerate, despite potential regulatory challenges in various countries [2][13] Home Furnishings - The report notes a significant increase in transaction volumes in the second-hand housing market, with a 754.6% year-on-year increase in certain cities [15] - Export figures for furniture show a decline, but there is potential for recovery driven by policy support and improved consumer sentiment [16] AI and Personal Care - New regulations are set to transform marketing strategies in the personal care sector, emphasizing compliance and professional channels [19][21] - The AI glasses market is witnessing innovation, with companies like Oakley and Meta launching new products, indicating a growing trend towards smart technology integration [23] 3D Printing - The report highlights advancements in 3D printing technology, particularly in multi-color printing solutions, which are expected to enhance efficiency and usability in consumer applications [35] Two-Wheeled Vehicles - The electric bicycle market is facing challenges due to policy changes and high base effects, while the motorcycle sector is showing positive trends due to regulatory relaxations [36][37]

Core Insights - The article discusses how certain industries are thriving despite a general perception of economic downturn, highlighting eight key sectors that present significant business opportunities in a low-desire society [3][4]. Group 1: Key Industries - **Second-Hand Economy**: The second-hand luxury market in Japan, represented by companies like Daikokuya, has seen a surge in revenue. In China, platforms like Hongbulin and Panghu are experiencing similar growth, indicating a shift in consumer spending towards second-hand goods [6][7][8][9]. - **Pet Economy**: With declining birth rates, young people are spending more on pets, leading to significant growth in pet food and healthcare products. Companies like Inaba in Japan and Guobao in China are capitalizing on this trend [11][12][14][15]. - **Adult Care Products**: The adult diaper market in Japan has surpassed $10 billion, indicating a growing demand for adult care products in China, with companies like Kexin showing potential for growth [16][17][18]. - **Health Food and Beverages**: The rise in health consciousness has led to increased demand for sugar-free beverages and functional drinks. Brands like Dongfang Shuye and Jianchun are gaining traction in this sector [21][22]. - **Beauty Economy**: The demand for beauty products, including collagen supplements and at-home beauty devices, is on the rise. Companies like Jinbo Biological are seeing significant market value growth [23][25]. - **Outdoor and Leisure Products**: The outdoor equipment market is thriving, with brands like Kailas and Camel experiencing rapid sales growth, as consumers seek leisure activities despite economic constraints [25][26][27]. - **Emotional Economy**: Brands like Labubu and Rio are tapping into the emotional needs of consumers, providing products that offer comfort and joy, even in a tight economic climate [28][29][30]. - **Convenience Economy**: The demand for convenience products, such as frozen foods and smart home appliances, is increasing as younger generations spend less time cooking. Companies like Anjijia and Kewot are benefiting from this trend [33][35][36]. Group 2: Market Trends - The article emphasizes that the current economic climate, often viewed as a "winter," presents opportunities for those willing to invest in counter-cyclical sectors. The key to success lies in recognizing and seizing these opportunities [39].