CHINA PET FOODS(002891) 东吴证券·2025-04-24 03:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown a high growth in performance, with its own brand entering a rapid growth phase [1] - The company reported a total revenue of 4.465 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.15% [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 is projected to be 393.8 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 68.89% [7] - The company is expected to maintain strong growth in the coming years, with net profit forecasts of 450.68 million yuan for 2025 and 551.32 million yuan for 2026 [1][7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 3.747 billion yuan in 2023 to 5.252 billion yuan in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 17.64% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 233.16 million yuan in 2023 to 450.68 million yuan in 2025, indicating a strong growth trajectory [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.79 yuan in 2023 to 1.53 yuan in 2025 [1][8] - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 61.44 in 2023 to 31.78 in 2025, suggesting an improving valuation [1][8] Product and Market Insights - The company has optimized its product structure, with significant growth in its own brand products, particularly in the staple food segment, which saw a revenue increase of 92% [7] - The domestic and international revenue for 2024 is expected to be 14 billion yuan and 30 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 30% and 15% [7] - The company has established a stable customer base through long-term partnerships, ensuring consistent growth in its overseas business [7] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for 2024 is projected to reach 28.2%, an increase of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The net profit margin for 2024 is expected to be 8.8%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.6 percentage points [7] - The company’s operating profit is forecasted to grow from 508 million yuan in 2024 to 731 million yuan in 2026 [8]