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中国巨石:2025年一季报点评:扣非盈利逐季提升,龙头优势巩固-20250424
600176CJS(600176) 东吴证券·2025-04-24 05:23

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, with total revenue reaching 4.479 billion yuan, up 32.4% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 730 million yuan, up 108.5% year-on-year [7] - The company is expected to benefit from a resilient industry environment, with supply release slowing down and a focus on optimizing product structure, which should enhance profitability [7] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 3.26 billion, 3.98 billion, and 4.63 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15, 12, and 10 times [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 14.876 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 26.33%, followed by a recovery in 2024 with a 6.59% increase [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is expected to be 3.044 billion yuan, down 53.94% year-on-year, but is projected to rebound significantly in the following years [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023 is 0.76 yuan, with projections of 0.61 yuan for 2024 and an increase to 1.16 yuan by 2027 [1] Market Data Summary - The closing price of the stock is 12.00 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 48.04 billion yuan [5] - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 1.56 and a total share capital of 4,003.14 million shares [5][6]