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新东方-S(09901):新东方-s(09901):留学业务增速触底,降本行动缓解利润率压力

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the growth rate of the study abroad business has reached a bottom, and cost reduction actions are alleviating pressure on profit margins [6] - The company reported a revenue of 1.183billionfor3QFY25,ayearonyeardecreaseof21.183 billion for 3QFY25, a year-on-year decrease of 2%, while non-selection business (education + cultural tourism) achieved revenue of 1.04 billion, a year-on-year increase of 21.2% [4] - The Non-GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company was 113million,down14.3113 million, down 14.3% year-on-year, with a Non-GAAP net profit margin of 9.6%, narrowing by 1.4 percentage points year-on-year [4] Summary by Sections Study Abroad Business - The growth of the study abroad business has slowed, with revenue from overseas exam training and consulting reaching 296 million, a year-on-year increase of 11.4%, which is a slowdown of 35.4 percentage points compared to the same period last year [5] - The high-end one-on-one training business is facing challenges due to its premium pricing, and the demand for studying abroad is returning to normal after the rapid release of pent-up demand from the pandemic [5] New Business Growth - New business revenue (K9 quality training + learning machine business) grew by 34.5% year-on-year to 325million[5]Thecompanyisexpandingitsserviceofferingstoenhancetheresilienceofitsstudyabroadbusinessbyadjustingclasstypesandincreasingyouthoverseasexamtrainingservices[5]ProfitabilityandFinancialProjectionsTheNonGAAPoperatingprofitmarginfornonselectionbusinessnarrowedby1.8percentagepointsto13.3325 million [5] - The company is expanding its service offerings to enhance the resilience of its study abroad business by adjusting class types and increasing youth overseas exam training services [5] Profitability and Financial Projections - The Non-GAAP operating profit margin for non-selection business narrowed by 1.8 percentage points to 13.3% due to the slowdown in the high-margin study abroad business [6] - The report projects Non-GAAP net profits for FY25, FY26, and FY27 to be 454 million, 534million,and534 million, and 636 million respectively, with a DCF target price of $74.8 [6][8]