YUEYANG XINGCHANG(000819) 华鑫证券·2025-04-24 12:33Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The short-term performance is impacted by the MPP project, but future prospects remain positive [5] - The company achieved a total revenue of 3.823 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 24.62%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 37.55% [4][8] - The high-end polyolefin project is expected to become a significant growth driver once production stabilizes [5][8] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The company's stock price is currently at 14.69 yuan with a total market capitalization of 5.4 billion yuan [1] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 904 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.89%, but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 12.04% [4] - The company’s net profit for Q4 2024 was negative 9 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline [4] Investment Highlights - The MPP project in Huizhou has faced delays, with a current capacity utilization rate of 18.78% and an expected annual output of 56,300 tons [5] - The new materials business saw a remarkable revenue increase of 501.14% to 793 million yuan, driven by the full production of calcined petroleum coke [6] - The company has received approval for a 500,000 tons/year refined oil production capacity, marking the beginning of large-scale expansion in this segment [6] Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 129 million yuan, 181 million yuan, and 216 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 41.9, 30.0, and 25.1 [8][10]