JHT(603199) 华西证券·2025-04-24 14:34Investment Rating - The investment rating for Jiuhua Tourism is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company achieved significant growth in Q1 2025, with revenue and net profit increasing by 30.13% and 31.83% year-on-year, respectively [2][3] - The strong performance is attributed to favorable weather conditions and a robust recovery in the domestic tourism market, with a 5.9% increase in domestic travel during the Spring Festival [3] - Government policies aimed at boosting tourism consumption are expected to support steady and rapid growth in the company's performance throughout the year [4] - The company anticipates a revenue of 840 million yuan and a net profit of 205 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a 10.2% increase in profit compared to 2024 [4] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from ongoing trends in temple tourism and infrastructure improvements, such as the opening of the Pool-Huang High-speed Railway [5] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve revenues of 841 million yuan and a net profit of 209 million yuan, with an EPS of 1.89 yuan [6][7] - The financial forecasts for 2026 and 2027 are 924 million yuan and 1,008 million yuan in revenue, and net profits of 232 million yuan and 261 million yuan, respectively [9][11] - The company's gross margin is expected to remain stable around 49.9% to 51.2% over the forecast period [9] - The price-to-earnings ratio is projected to decrease from 20.18 in 2025 to 16.20 in 2027, indicating potential value appreciation [11]