Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic [1] Core Insights - The national subsidy for small household appliances is expanding, with JD.com increasing the range of subsidized products, adding 36 new items as of April 22, 2025. This includes essential items like microwaves and rice cookers, with a significant recovery in growth expected for most categories in 2025 [3][8] - The expanded subsidy coverage is expected to benefit three types of companies: those with a high proportion of essential products at mid-to-high price points, companies with a significant share in long-tail products like health pots and electric appliances, and companies with a high proportion of sales through JD.com [3][9] - Recommended stocks include Supor, which has a high market share in rice cookers and is positioned in the mid-to-high price range, and Bear Electric, which leads in the health pot market and benefits from strong subsidies in Guangdong [3][32] Summary by Sections National Subsidy Impact - The national subsidy for small household appliances is set to cover a wider range of products, with JD.com leading in subsidy strength. As of April 22, 2025, 36 new small appliance categories have been added to the subsidy list [3][4][8] - The online sales proportion of kitchen small appliances is projected to reach 79% by 2024, indicating a significant shift towards e-commerce [5][8] Company Recommendations - Supor is highlighted for its strong online sales in rice cookers, with a current PE ratio of 19x, and is well-positioned to benefit from the subsidy [3][32] - Bear Electric is noted for its leading market share in health pots and strong regional subsidies, also with a PE ratio of 19x [3][32] Market Trends - The report indicates a recovery in demand for essential products, with price increases observed in long-tail categories like health pots and electric appliances. The growth in these categories is attributed to the national subsidy program [9][14] - Data shows that from January 1 to April 13, 2025, health pots experienced a 37% increase in sales volume, indicating strong consumer demand [14][25] Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape for rice cookers shows that Supor and Midea dominate the market, with a combined market share of 51% as of Q1 2025 [20][21] - Bear Electric leads in the health pot segment, while Joyoung holds a significant market share in the electric appliance category, particularly in soy milk machines [25][27]
小家电行业专题报告:国补新周期,如何看小家电投资机会
浙商证券·2025-04-25 01:25