CHINA PET FOODS(002891) 中邮证券·2025-04-25 03:31Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within six months [10][16]. Core Insights - The company achieved significant revenue and profit growth in 2024, with total revenue of 4.465 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.15%, and a net profit of 394 million yuan, up 68.89% [5][10]. - The company's strategic focus on self-owned brands and global supply chain expansion has led to strong performance in both domestic and international markets, with notable growth in pet food and related products [6][8]. Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 48.58 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 14.3 billion yuan [4]. - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 41.2% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.26 [4]. Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 1.276 billion yuan, a 23.31% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 112 million yuan, up 98.2% [5][6]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.101 billion yuan, a 25.41% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 91 million yuan, up 62.13% [5][10]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from domestic operations reached 1.414 billion yuan, a 30.26% increase, while international revenue was 3.051 billion yuan, up 14.62% [6]. - The company’s product categories showed diverse growth, with pet snacks, pet food, and other pet products generating revenues of 3.132 billion yuan, 1.107 billion yuan, and 226 million yuan respectively [6]. Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 28.16%, an increase of 1.88 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 8.82%, up 2.6 percentage points [7]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin improved to 31.87%, reflecting a 4.03 percentage point increase year-on-year [7]. Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 5.347 billion yuan and 6.332 billion yuan respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 19.75% and 18.44% [10][12]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 470 million yuan, with a growth rate of 19.46% [10][12].