JIULI Hi-tech(002318) 招商证券·2025-04-25 06:04Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [3]. Core Views - The company has experienced rapid growth in Q1 2025, driven by high-end product sales and the acquisition of EBK, which has enhanced production capacity and market share [6]. - Revenue for 2024 is projected to reach 109.18 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.42%, primarily due to the expansion into mid-to-high-end markets in the domestic and international petrochemical and natural gas sectors [6]. - The company aims to achieve a total sales volume of approximately 190,000 tons of industrial finished pipes and 10,500 tons of fittings by 2025 [6]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue is expected to grow from 85.68 billion yuan in 2023 to 161.06 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31% in 2023 and 27% in 2024 [2][20]. - Operating profit is projected to increase from 17.34 billion yuan in 2023 to 27.35 billion yuan in 2027, with a notable growth of 25% in 2023 [2][20]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to rise from 14.89 billion yuan in 2024 to 22.64 billion yuan in 2027, with a growth rate of 16% in 2023 [2][20]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to decrease from 15.1 in 2023 to 10.0 in 2027, indicating potential undervaluation [2][21]. Key Financial Ratios - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 19.1% in 2024, reflecting strong profitability [3][21]. - The asset-liability ratio is expected to remain stable at around 42.7% in 2024, indicating a balanced financial structure [21]. - The gross margin is anticipated to improve slightly to 27.6% in 2024, driven by better cost management and product mix [21].