Montage Technology(688008) 湘财证券·2025-04-25 12:24Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a strong performance in Q1 2025, with revenue of 1.222 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 65.78%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 525 million yuan, up 135.14% year-on-year [2][3] - The interconnect chip business is showing robust growth momentum, with sales revenue of 1.139 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 63.92% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.19% [3] - The gross margin for the interconnect chip product line is 64.50%, which is an increase of 3.57 percentage points year-on-year, contributing to an overall gross profit growth of 73.66% for the company [3] - The company expects a conservative estimate of a 13.3% quarter-on-quarter revenue growth for interconnect chips in Q2 2025, with total orders exceeding 1.29 billion yuan [3] - The DDR5 memory interface chip market is expected to see a steady increase in average selling price (ASP) due to rising penetration rates and ongoing product iterations [4] - The high-performance "capacity chips" are anticipated to enter a high growth phase, with combined revenue of 135 million yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 155% [5][6] Financial Forecast - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 2.087 billion yuan, 2.933 billion yuan, and 3.666 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 47.9%, 40.5%, and 25% [7] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.82 yuan, 2.56 yuan, and 3.20 yuan respectively [7] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 39.8x, 28.33x, and 22.67x respectively [7]