SRCB(601825) 浙商证券·2025-04-25 12:46Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 10.75 CNY per share, indicating a potential upside of 24% from the current price [8]. Core Views - The company's non-recurring performance remains positive, with a forecast for profit growth in 2025, supported by stable asset quality and potential for provisioning release [3][8]. - The bank's dividend payout ratio has increased, reaching 33.91% for 2024, which translates to a dividend yield of 5.0% at the current price [7]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company's revenue decreased by 7.4% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 0.3% [2]. - The non-recurring revenue for Q1 2025 showed a slight increase of 0.05%, and non-recurring net profit increased by 12.58% [3]. - The bank's loan and deposit growth rates improved to 6.6% and 5.9% year-on-year, respectively [4]. - The net interest margin decreased by 6 basis points to 1.31% due to a larger decline in asset yield compared to liability costs [5]. - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 0.97%, with a provisioning coverage ratio of 339%, down 13 percentage points from the previous year [2][6]. Asset Quality and Dividends - The bank's asset quality indicators showed some fluctuations, with the NPL ratio stable and the attention rate rising to 1.49% [6]. - The dividend payout ratio has been consistently high, reflecting the bank's commitment to returning value to shareholders [7]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit growth from 2025 to 2027 is 1.51%, 1.88%, and 2.39%, respectively, with corresponding book values per share of 13.44, 14.32, and 15.22 CNY [8][15].