Workflow
玲珑轮胎(601966):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:海外第三基地落子巴西,静待成本修复、盈利回暖

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Linglong Tire (601966) with a target price of 20.85 CNY, while the current price is 14.77 CNY [1][3]. Core Insights - Linglong Tire is expanding its global footprint by investing 1.19 billion USD (approximately 8.71 billion CNY) in a new production base in Brazil, which is expected to enhance its competitiveness and market share in the Americas [7][8]. - The company reported a revenue of 22.06 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.39%, and a net profit of 1.75 billion CNY, up 26.01% year-on-year [7][8]. - The report highlights a significant drop in net profit for Q4 2024, which was 0.41 billion CNY, down 90.6% year-on-year, indicating challenges in the latter part of the year [7][8]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, Linglong Tire produced and sold 89.12 million and 85.45 million tires, respectively, marking increases of 12.65% and 9.57% year-on-year [7]. - The average selling price of tires in 2024 was 255.3 CNY per tire, a slight increase of 0.2% from 2023 [7]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 22.06%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.05 percentage points, although the margin decreased in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 due to rising raw material costs [7][8]. Future Projections - The report projects revenues of 27.7 billion CNY in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 25.6%, and a net profit of 2.04 billion CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 16.4% [8]. - For 2026 and 2027, the expected revenues are 31.28 billion CNY and 34.03 billion CNY, with corresponding net profits of 2.72 billion CNY and 3.39 billion CNY [8].