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承德露露(000848):收入维稳,杏仁成本下行释放红利
000848lolo(000848) 天风证券·2025-04-26 09:45

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a 6-month outlook maintained [1][17]. Core Insights - The report highlights stable revenue performance with a projected revenue of 3.45 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 4.95% [7][10]. - The company has achieved its revenue incentive targets for 2024, with a net profit of 666.24 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.41% [9][10]. - The report anticipates continued benefits from reduced almond costs, which are expected to enhance profitability in 2025 [8][9]. Financial Data Summary - Total A-share capital is 1,052.55 million shares, with a total market capitalization of 10,441.34 million yuan [2]. - The company's net asset per share is 3.45 yuan, and the debt-to-asset ratio stands at 20.71% [2]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.68 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.61 [10][12]. Revenue and Profitability - The company's revenue for 2024 is expected to reach 3.29 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11.26% [10]. - The net profit margin for 2024 is projected at 20.27%, with a net profit of 666.17 million yuan [11][12]. - The report indicates that the company plans to launch new herbal health drink products, which may further stabilize its main business [9]. Market Performance - The company has seen a significant increase in sales in the fourth quarter of 2024, with a revenue of 1.128 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 22.69% [7]. - The report notes that the company has added 56 new distributors in the northern region, reinforcing its market presence [7]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a revenue growth rate of 5% in 2025, with net profit growth projected at 7% [9][10]. - The report emphasizes the potential for continued cost benefits from almond procurement, which could enhance profit margins in the upcoming quarters [8][9].