supor(002032) 开源证券·2025-04-26 14:45Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 5.786 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.59%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 497 million yuan, up by 5.82%, and the non-recurring net profit was 484 million yuan, an increase of 4.98% [6] - The report maintains profit forecasts, expecting net profits attributable to the parent company to be 2.443 billion yuan, 2.599 billion yuan, and 2.769 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.05, 3.24, and 3.46 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 18.2, 17.1, and 16.0 times for the same years [6] - Short-term focus is on policy-driven improvement in domestic demand in 2025, while long-term outlook remains positive for steady revenue growth, stable profit margins, and high-quality operations potentially maintaining a high dividend payout ratio [6] Sales Performance - The company experienced steady growth in both domestic and international sales. In Q1 2025, domestic sales were expected to benefit from government subsidies, while international sales were minimally impacted by tariff policies [7] - The revenue growth for the SEB Group's consumer business in Q1 2025 was 2.8%, with expectations for continued robust growth in international sales due to low export exposure and support from the Vietnam base [7] Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 23.91%, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 0.1 percentage points. The overall expense ratio remained stable, with a total expense ratio of 13.31% [8] - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 8.59%, indicating stable profitability [8] Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - The company’s projected revenue for 2025 is 23.895 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.5%. The projected net profit for 2025 is 2.443 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.9% increase [9] - Key financial ratios include a projected gross margin of 25.0% and a net margin of 10.2% for 2025 [9]