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确成股份(605183):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:二氧化硅销量同比稳步提升,看好在建产能投产提供增量

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10]. Core Views - The report highlights a steady increase in the sales volume of silica, with a significant performance boost expected from the commissioning of new production capacity [1][6]. - The company achieved a revenue of 2.197 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 21.38%, and a net profit of 541 million yuan, up 31.10% year-on-year [4][6]. - The report emphasizes the company's strong position in the silica market, with total production capacity ranking third globally and ongoing expansion efforts [9][10]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 563 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.46%, and a net profit of 161 million yuan, up 50.31% year-on-year [5]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 540 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.25%, and a net profit of 138 million yuan, up 12.57% year-on-year [8]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 33.95%, an increase of 4.51 percentage points year-on-year, driven by a significant expansion in price differentials for precipitated silica [6][10]. Production and Capacity Expansion - The company sold 36.3 million tons of silica in 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 21.8%, and plans to expand its production capacity by an additional 50,000 tons [6][9]. - The company is also investing in R&D to produce high-dispersion silica using rice husk ash, which significantly reduces carbon emissions [9]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 estimates revenues of 2.395 billion yuan, 2.593 billion yuan, and 2.862 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 593 million yuan, 675 million yuan, and 716 million yuan [10][12].