Muyuan Foods (002714) 开源证券·2025-04-27 00:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has demonstrated significant growth in pig sales and a decrease in costs, leading to strong performance in Q1 2025. Revenue reached 36.06 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.26%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.49 billion yuan, up 288.79% [3][4] - The company maintains its original profit forecast, expecting net profits of 24.06 billion yuan, 28.73 billion yuan, and 37.93 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 4.40 yuan, 5.26 yuan, and 6.94 yuan [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 33.22 billion yuan from pig farming, with sales of 22.66 million pigs, marking a 41.52% increase. The total cost of pig farming decreased to 12.5 yuan/kg in March 2025, with an annual target of 12 yuan/kg [4][5] - The company has a sufficient breeding stock, with 3.485 million breeding sows as of March 2025, and a survival rate of 82%-83% for pigs [4] - The company's asset-liability ratio decreased to 59.20%, with cash reserves of 23.566 billion yuan, indicating strong financial health [5] Valuation Metrics - The company's projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 9.1, 7.6, and 5.8 respectively, suggesting attractive valuation levels [3][8] - The expected revenue growth rates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 6.6%, 6.7%, and 10.5% respectively, indicating a positive growth outlook [8]