CHINA PET FOODS(002891) 信达证券·2025-04-27 04:52Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" based on its strong performance and growth potential [1]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.465 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.2%, and a net profit of 394 million yuan, up 68.9% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue reached 1.101 billion yuan, a 25.4% increase year-on-year, with net profit at 91 million yuan, up 62.1% year-on-year. The growth is attributed to strong performance in its proprietary brands and continuous growth in its U.S. and Canadian operations [1][2][3]. Domestic Performance - In Q1 2024, the company's domestic revenue was 1.414 billion yuan, a 30.8% increase year-on-year. The second half of 2024 saw revenue of 797 million yuan, up 37.2% year-on-year. The domestic gross margin improved to 35.2%, a 3.9 percentage point increase year-on-year. The company expects significant results from its brand reform initiatives, particularly for the "Wang Pi" brand, which saw a GMV increase of 83.4% in April 2025 [2]. Overseas Performance - The company's overseas revenue for 2024 was 3.051 billion yuan, a 20.4% increase year-on-year. The second half of 2024 recorded revenue of 1.712 billion yuan, up 29.9% year-on-year. The gross margin for overseas operations was 24.9%, a slight decrease of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year. The company anticipates a 20% year-on-year increase in overseas revenue for Q1 2025, with U.S. and Canadian subsidiaries expected to grow by around 40% [3]. Profitability and Operational Efficiency - In Q1 2025, the company's gross margin was 31.9%, and the net profit margin was 8.3%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.0 and 1.9 percentage points, respectively. The sales, management, and R&D expense ratios were 11.4%, 6.1%, and 2.1%, respectively, indicating controlled expense growth. The company reported a net operating cash flow of 190 million yuan, an increase of 204 million yuan year-on-year, showcasing improved operational efficiency [4]. Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 471 million yuan, 589 million yuan, and 732 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 34X, 27X, and 22X [4].