ZHONGYIN BABI FOOD CO.(605338) 华鑫证券·2025-04-27 08:10Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 370 million yuan in Q1 2025, representing a 4% year-on-year increase, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 6% to 37 million yuan [1] - The gross margin is expected to improve gradually as operational efficiency offsets depreciation impacts, with a slight decrease in gross margin to 25.47% in Q1 2025 [2] - The company continues to narrow the single-store gap and is advancing brand acquisitions and supply chain integration, with food revenue reaching 334 million yuan, a 5% increase year-on-year [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 total revenue was 370 million yuan, with a 4% increase year-on-year; net profit attributable to shareholders was 37 million yuan, down 6% [1] - Q1 2025 gross margin decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 25.47%, primarily due to one-time investments from the new Wuhan factory [2] - Sales expense ratio and management expense ratio decreased by 1 percentage point and 0.1 percentage points to 4.06% and 7.55%, respectively [2] Growth Drivers - Food revenue in Q1 2025 was 334 million yuan, with rice and flour, filling, and purchased food categories growing by 3%, 11%, and 4% respectively, driven by ongoing brand acquisitions and supply chain integration [3] - Franchise sales revenue reached 265 million yuan, a 3% increase, with 5,644 franchise stores as of the end of Q1 2025, reflecting a net increase of 501 stores [3] - Group meal revenue grew by 12% to 93 million yuan, supported by rising customer demand and customized products [3] Profitability Forecast - The company is expected to maintain its store opening pace and benefit from brand acquisitions, with EPS projected at 1.08, 1.17, and 1.24 yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to PE ratios of 17, 16, and 15 times [4]