大参林：短期调整后，业绩恢复态势良好-20250427

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [3][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 26.497 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting an 8.0% year-on-year growth, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 21.6% to 915 million RMB [2]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6.956 billion RMB, a 3.0% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 460 million RMB, up 15.5% year-on-year [2]. - The company is in a period of adjustment, optimizing its store network, which is expected to lead to stable profit growth post-adjustment [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 26.497 billion RMB, with a net profit of 915 million RMB, and a non-recurring net profit of 885 million RMB, both showing declines compared to the previous year [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 6.956 billion RMB and a net profit of 460 million RMB, indicating a positive trend in profitability [2]. Operational Analysis - The company opened 907 self-built stores, acquired 420 stores, and added 1,885 franchise stores in 2024, while closing 733 stores to optimize its network [3]. - In Q1 2025, the company added 69 stores, including 54 new openings and 189 franchise stores, while closing 174 stores, resulting in a total of 16,622 stores [3]. - The fastest-growing segment in Q1 2025 was the Chinese and Western medicine category, generating approximately 5.32 billion RMB in revenue, a 5.8% increase year-on-year [3]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company is expected to gradually return to normal growth after the adjustment period, with projected net profits of 1.1 billion RMB, 1.32 billion RMB, and 1.52 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 20.1%, 19.8%, and 15.3% [3]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.96 RMB, 1.16 RMB, and 1.33 RMB, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 17, 15, and 13 times [3].