2025 年 4 月 30 日 公司研究 现金牛属性稳固，短期利润承压不改长期价值 ——大参林（603233.SH）2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 要点 事件： 1）公司发布 2024 年报，营业收入 264.97 亿元，同比+8.01%；归母净 利润 9.15 亿元，同比-21.58%；扣非归母净利润 8.85 亿元，同比-22.42%；经 营性净现金流 31.06 亿元，同比-2.13%；EPS（基本）0.81 元。 2）公司发布 2025 年一季报，营业收入 69.56 亿元，同比+3.02%；归母净利润 4.60 亿元，同比+15.45%；扣非归母净利润 4.55 亿元，同比+14.82%；经营性 净现金流 17.68 亿元，同比+44.14%。 点评： 消费力拖累短期业绩，现金牛属性稳固：2024Q1~2025Q1，公司单季度营业收 入分别为 67.52/65.93/63.86/67.66/69.56 亿元，同比+13.54%/+9.07%/ +11.42%/-0.63%/+3.02%；归母净利润 3.98/2.59/2.01/0.57/4.60 亿元，同比 -19.79%/-38.40% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company has optimized its store network by closing 733 stores in 2024, which is expected to enhance profitability despite short-term revenue pressure [7] - The company is embracing AI opportunities, launching "AI Xiaosan" to improve operational efficiency [7] - The company continues to expand its store network, with a total of 16,622 stores as of Q1 2025, including 6,239 franchise stores [7] - The company has made progress in obtaining professional pharmacy qualifications, with 248 DTP pharmacies and over 10,000 insurance designated stores by the end of 2024 [7] - The company is expected to see a profit growth that outpaces revenue growth in 2025, with projected net profits of 10.7 billion, 12.3 billion, and 14.0 billion for 2025-2027 [7] Financial Data Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 26,497 million, with a net profit of 915 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.01% and a decline in net profit of 21.58% [1][3] - The company’s revenue for Q1 2025 was 69,560 million, with a net profit of 4,600 million, showing a year-on-year growth of 3.02% and 15.45% respectively [1] - The company’s projected revenue growth rates for 2025-2027 are 10%, 12%, and 13% respectively [3] - The company’s PE ratio is projected to decrease from 21.0 in 2024 to 13.7 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation [3][10] Store Expansion and Performance - The company added 2,479 stores in 2024, with a net increase of 69 stores in Q1 2025 [7] - Franchise and distribution revenue reached 39.40 billion in 2024, growing by 15.12%, and 11.30 billion in Q1 2025, growing by 25.34% [7] Profitability and Financial Ratios - The company’s net profit margin is projected to improve from 3.5% in 2024 to 3.8% in 2027 [10] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to increase from 13.3% in 2024 to 16.1% in 2027 [10] - The company’s asset-liability ratio is projected to decrease from 69.2% in 2024 to 65.4% in 2027, indicating improved financial stability [10]

1、为满足子公司的日常经营发展的资金需求，近日，公司就子公司向银行申 请综合授信提供担保，具体情况如下： 证券代码：603233 证券简称：大参林 公告编号：2025-030 大参林医药集团股份有限公司 一、担保情况概述 关于为子公司提供担保的进展公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： | 担保 | 被担保人 | 担保金额 | 授信机构 | 担保类 | 反担保 | 期限 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 人 | | （万元） | | 型 | 情况 | | | 公司 | 南通市江海大药房连锁 | 5,000 | 上海浦东发展银行股 | 连带责 | 无 | 以实际签署 | | | 有限公司 | | 份有限公司南通分行 | 任担保 | | 的合同为准 | | | 陕西大参林药业有限公 | 1,100 | 中信银行股份有限公 | 连带责 | 无 | 以实际签署 | | | 司 | | 司西安分行 | 任担保 | | 的合同为准 | | | 合 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the analysis suggests a potential improvement in profitability in 2025, indicating a positive outlook for investors [1][2]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 26.497 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.01%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 21.58% to 915 million yuan [1][2]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6.956 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.02%, with a notable net profit growth of 15.45% to 460 million yuan [1][2]. - The company is experiencing a decline in gross margin, which fell by 1.58 percentage points to 34.33% in 2024, while the retail business gross margin decreased by 1.53 percentage points to 36.62% [2]. - The company is expected to see a turning point in profitability in 2025, driven by the closure of unprofitable stores and improvements in customer traffic due to ongoing initiatives [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company generated total revenue of 26.497 billion yuan, with a breakdown showing significant contributions from various regions and product categories [2]. - The company’s retail business revenue was 21.921 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.88%, while franchise and distribution revenue reached 3.94 billion yuan, up 15.12% [2]. - The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 28.938 billion yuan, 31.788 billion yuan, and 35.149 billion yuan, with expected growth rates of approximately 9%, 10%, and 11% respectively [5]. Profitability Metrics - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to recover to 1.099 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 20.1% [5]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to stabilize around 34.3% for the next few years, with a slight decline anticipated [4][5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.96 yuan in 2025, increasing to 1.31 yuan by 2027 [4][5]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has a strong presence in the South China region, with 10,064 stores, and is expanding its footprint in other regions [2]. - The ongoing strategy includes closing loss-making stores and enhancing store profitability through improved customer traffic management [2][3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 26.497 billion yuan in 2024, representing an 8.01% year-on-year increase, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 914.76 million yuan, a decrease of 21.58% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 6.956 billion yuan, up 3.02% year-on-year, and a net profit of 460 million yuan, an increase of 15.45% year-on-year, exceeding expectations [8] - The company has optimized its store structure, which is expected to drive profit growth. As of the first quarter of 2025, the company had 16,622 stores across 21 provinces, with a net increase of 69 stores in the quarter [8] - The report highlights a decline in various expense ratios in the first quarter of 2025, indicating effective cost control measures [8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023A: 24.531 billion yuan, 2024A: 26.497 billion yuan, 2025E: 29.587 billion yuan, 2026E: 32.673 billion yuan, and 2027E: 35.861 billion yuan [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 1.1665 billion yuan in 2023A, 914.76 million yuan in 2024A, 1.08432 billion yuan in 2025E, 1.25219 billion yuan in 2026E, and 1.44462 billion yuan in 2027E [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.02 yuan in 2023A, 0.80 yuan in 2024A, 0.95 yuan in 2025E, 1.10 yuan in 2026E, and 1.27 yuan in 2027E [1] Store Expansion and Structure Optimization - The company has been actively optimizing its store layout, with a total of 16,622 stores as of the first quarter of 2025, including 6,239 franchise stores. The company closed 174 stores during the quarter, which is part of its strategy to enhance profitability [8] - The report indicates that the company plans to continue its store expansion, albeit at a slower pace, with a total of 2,479 new stores added in 2024 [8] Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin for 2024 was reported at 34.33%, a decrease of 1.57 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 3.70%, down 1.32 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company expects to achieve a net profit of 1.084 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting an 18.54% growth compared to the previous year [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company has shown rapid growth in Q1 2025, with a revenue of 6.956 billion yuan, representing a 3.02% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 460 million yuan, which is a 15.45% increase [4] - The company is optimizing its store layout, which is expected to enhance profit potential [8] - The company is actively embracing AI technology to improve operational efficiency and revenue generation [10] - The forecast for revenue growth from 2025 to 2027 is 29.168 billion yuan, 32.144 billion yuan, and 35.400 billion yuan respectively, with net profits projected at 1.105 billion yuan, 1.272 billion yuan, and 1.465 billion yuan [11] Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 16.84 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 19.2 billion yuan [3] - The company has a total of 16,622 stores as of Q1 2025, including 6,239 franchise stores, with a net increase of 69 stores in the quarter [8] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 26.497 billion yuan, an increase of 8.01%, and a net profit of 915 million yuan, a decrease of 21.58% [4][13] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 34.33%, with a net profit margin of 3.45% [5] - The operating cash flow for 2024 was 3.106 billion yuan, a decrease of 2% [6] Business Segments - The retail business generated revenue of 21.921 billion yuan in 2024, a growth of 6.88%, while the franchise and distribution business saw revenue of 3.940 billion yuan, a growth of 15.12% [7] - The main driver of growth in 2024 was the revenue from traditional Chinese and Western medicine, which amounted to 19.968 billion yuan, an increase of 12.82% [7]

Core Viewpoint - The pharmacy industry is experiencing a slowdown, but Dazhenglin has demonstrated resilience with strong revenue and profit growth, indicating its competitive advantage in a challenging market [1][3][11]. Group 1: Company Performance - In 2024, Dazhenglin achieved total revenue of 26.497 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.01% [3]. - For Q1 2024, the company reported total revenue of 6.956 billion yuan, up 3.02%, and a net profit of 460 million yuan, reflecting a 15.45% increase [1][3]. - The net cash flow from operating activities reached 1.768 billion yuan, a significant increase of 44.14% [3]. Group 2: Expansion and Efficiency - Dazhenglin's store count increased by 2,479 to a total of 16,553 stores by the end of 2024, marking a 17.61% year-on-year growth [3][4]. - The company is expanding its presence in key regions while entering new markets, having established a footprint in 15 provincial-level administrative regions since 2019 [4]. - Dazhenglin is the only listed pharmacy chain showing a decrease in combined expense ratios and inventory turnover days, indicating improved operational efficiency [4][6]. Group 3: Market Trends - Despite the overall pressure on the pharmacy sector, the proportion of retail pharmacies in total sales is increasing, with retail pharmacy sales expected to reach 574 billion yuan in 2024, a 3.7% increase [7][8]. - The market share of the top ten pharmacy chains in China remains relatively low, suggesting significant growth potential for leading players like Dazhenglin [8][9]. - The ongoing healthcare reforms and the shift of prescription drugs to outpatient settings present new growth opportunities for the retail pharmacy market [9][10]. Group 4: Strategic Initiatives - Dazhenglin is actively building a prescription transfer system and enhancing its professional service capabilities to capture the outpatient prescription market [10]. - The company has established a comprehensive health management model that integrates pharmaceuticals and insurance services, aiming to provide a one-stop solution for patients [10]. - The long-term outlook for the pharmacy industry remains positive due to ongoing reforms and increasing market concentration, benefiting large, compliant retail chains like Dazhenglin [11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company has shown rapid growth in Q1 2025, with a revenue of 6.956 billion yuan, representing a 3.02% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 460 million yuan, which is a 15.45% increase [4] - The company is optimizing its store layout, which is expected to enhance profit potential [8] - The company is actively embracing AI technology to improve operational efficiency and revenue generation [10] - The company is projected to have significant profit release potential, with expected revenues of 29.168 billion yuan, 32.144 billion yuan, and 35.400 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [11] Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 16.84 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 19.2 billion yuan [3] - The company has a total of 16,622 stores as of Q1 2025, including 6,239 franchise stores [8] - The company reported a gross profit margin of 34.98% in Q1 2025, with a net profit margin of 6.61% [5] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 26.497 billion yuan, an increase of 8.01%, and a net profit of 915 million yuan, a decrease of 21.58% [4][13] - The company’s EBITDA for 2025 is projected to be 1.52369 billion yuan, with a corresponding PE ratio of 17.35 [13][11] - The company’s cash flow from operations for 2024 was 3.106 billion yuan, a decrease of 2% [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [3][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 26.497 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting an 8.0% year-on-year growth, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 21.6% to 915 million RMB [2]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6.956 billion RMB, a 3.0% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 460 million RMB, up 15.5% year-on-year [2]. - The company is in a period of adjustment, optimizing its store network, which is expected to lead to stable profit growth post-adjustment [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 26.497 billion RMB, with a net profit of 915 million RMB, and a non-recurring net profit of 885 million RMB, both showing declines compared to the previous year [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 6.956 billion RMB and a net profit of 460 million RMB, indicating a positive trend in profitability [2]. Operational Analysis - The company opened 907 self-built stores, acquired 420 stores, and added 1,885 franchise stores in 2024, while closing 733 stores to optimize its network [3]. - In Q1 2025, the company added 69 stores, including 54 new openings and 189 franchise stores, while closing 174 stores, resulting in a total of 16,622 stores [3]. - The fastest-growing segment in Q1 2025 was the Chinese and Western medicine category, generating approximately 5.32 billion RMB in revenue, a 5.8% increase year-on-year [3]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company is expected to gradually return to normal growth after the adjustment period, with projected net profits of 1.1 billion RMB, 1.32 billion RMB, and 1.52 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 20.1%, 19.8%, and 15.3% [3]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.96 RMB, 1.16 RMB, and 1.33 RMB, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 17, 15, and 13 times [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [3][11]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 26.497 billion RMB in 2024, an increase of 8.0% year-on-year, but a decline in net profit attributable to shareholders by 21.6% to 915 million RMB [2]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6.956 billion RMB, a 3.0% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 460 million RMB, reflecting a 15.5% increase [2]. - The company is undergoing a period of adjustment, optimizing its store network, which is expected to lead to stable profit growth post-adjustment [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 26.497 billion RMB, with a net profit of 915 million RMB, and a non-recurring net profit of 885 million RMB, both showing declines compared to the previous year [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 6.956 billion RMB and a net profit of 460 million RMB, indicating positive growth in profitability [2]. Operational Analysis - The company opened 907 self-built stores, acquired 420 stores, and added 1,885 franchise stores in 2024, while closing 733 stores to optimize its network [3]. - In Q1 2025, the company net added 69 stores, with 54 new openings and 189 franchise additions, while closing 174 stores [3]. - The fastest-growing segment in Q1 2025 was traditional Chinese and Western medicine, generating approximately 5.32 billion RMB in revenue, a 5.8% increase year-on-year [3]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company is expected to gradually return to normal growth after the adjustment period, with projected net profits of 1.1 billion RMB, 1.32 billion RMB, and 1.52 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 20.1%, 19.8%, and 15.3% [3]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.96 RMB, 1.16 RMB, and 1.33 RMB, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 17, 15, and 13 times [3].