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大参林(603233):门店优化提质增效,利润拐点已现
603233DSL(603233) 招商证券·2025-04-29 13:01

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company has optimized its store network by closing 733 stores in 2024, which is expected to enhance profitability despite short-term revenue pressure [7] - The company is embracing AI opportunities, launching "AI Xiaosan" to improve operational efficiency [7] - The company continues to expand its store network, with a total of 16,622 stores as of Q1 2025, including 6,239 franchise stores [7] - The company has made progress in obtaining professional pharmacy qualifications, with 248 DTP pharmacies and over 10,000 insurance designated stores by the end of 2024 [7] - The company is expected to see a profit growth that outpaces revenue growth in 2025, with projected net profits of 10.7 billion, 12.3 billion, and 14.0 billion for 2025-2027 [7] Financial Data Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 26,497 million, with a net profit of 915 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.01% and a decline in net profit of 21.58% [1][3] - The company’s revenue for Q1 2025 was 69,560 million, with a net profit of 4,600 million, showing a year-on-year growth of 3.02% and 15.45% respectively [1] - The company’s projected revenue growth rates for 2025-2027 are 10%, 12%, and 13% respectively [3] - The company’s PE ratio is projected to decrease from 21.0 in 2024 to 13.7 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation [3][10] Store Expansion and Performance - The company added 2,479 stores in 2024, with a net increase of 69 stores in Q1 2025 [7] - Franchise and distribution revenue reached 39.40 billion in 2024, growing by 15.12%, and 11.30 billion in Q1 2025, growing by 25.34% [7] Profitability and Financial Ratios - The company’s net profit margin is projected to improve from 3.5% in 2024 to 3.8% in 2027 [10] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to increase from 13.3% in 2024 to 16.1% in 2027 [10] - The company’s asset-liability ratio is projected to decrease from 69.2% in 2024 to 65.4% in 2027, indicating improved financial stability [10]