FUNENG CO.,LTD(600483) 民生证券·2025-04-27 08:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price based on a PE ratio of 9/8/7 for the years 2025/2026/2027 respectively [6][12]. Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 met expectations, with revenue of 14.563 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.90% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 6.47% to 2.793 billion yuan [1]. - The company benefited from improved wind conditions in Fujian province, leading to a 42.83% increase in net profit in Q1 2025 compared to the previous year [1][2]. - The company is expected to see stable growth driven by high-quality assets in offshore wind and cogeneration projects, with projected net profits of 2.916 billion yuan, 3.372 billion yuan, and 3.725 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][5]. Revenue and Profitability - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 4.08 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.0% year-on-year, while net profit was 1.02 billion yuan, an increase of 3.3% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company generated a revenue of 3.097 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.31% year-on-year, with net profit reaching 752 million yuan, up 42.83% [1][2]. - The average utilization hours for the company's wind power projects reached 3,323.98 hours in 2024, significantly higher than the national average [4]. Financial Forecasts - The company forecasts revenues of 14.853 billion yuan in 2025, 15.565 billion yuan in 2026, and 16.420 billion yuan in 2027, with respective growth rates of 2.0%, 4.8%, and 5.5% [5][10]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 2.916 billion yuan, with an EPS of 1.05 yuan, and a PE ratio of 9 [5][10]. - The report indicates a stable gross margin improvement, with expected gross margins of 27.60% in 2025 and 30.98% in 2026 [9][10]. Operational Highlights - The company’s cogeneration project in Jinjiang achieved a net profit of 109 million yuan in 2024, despite a year-on-year decrease of 27.25% [3]. - The company has a robust project pipeline, with ongoing investments in offshore wind projects and cogeneration, which are expected to contribute positively to future earnings [4][5]. Market Conditions - The report notes that coal power prices are under pressure, while wind power prices remain relatively stable, with a slight increase in offshore wind pricing [2][4]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the competitive allocation of offshore wind resources in Fujian province, enhancing its growth prospects [4].