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恺英网络(002517):2025年关注新产品及出海业务
002517KINGNET(002517) 国投证券·2025-04-27 09:04

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company with a target price of 19.6 yuan, reflecting a 20x PE valuation for 2025 [3][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.118 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.628 billion yuan for 2024, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.16% and 11.41% respectively. For Q1 2025, revenue was 1.353 billion yuan and net profit was 518 million yuan, showing year-on-year growth of 3.46% and 21.57% [1]. - The mobile gaming segment, which accounts for 80% of total revenue, grew by 13.38% year-on-year, although its gross margin decreased by 2.75 percentage points. The overseas business saw a remarkable growth of 222%, albeit with a low revenue contribution of about 7%, and its gross margin improved by 8.53 percentage points [1][2]. - The company has a clear positioning in the gaming industry, focusing on IP games, and has successfully launched new IPs while maintaining classic titles. The overseas expansion strategy is expected to continue driving growth in 2025 [2]. Financial Performance Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenue growth rates of 22.8%, 15%, and 15% for 2025-2027, with net profit growth rates of 29.4%, 15%, and 10% respectively. The expected EPS for these years are 0.98 yuan, 1.13 yuan, and 1.23 yuan [3][8]. - The financial metrics indicate a stable performance with a net profit margin of 34.0% in 2023, projected to be 33.5% in 2025, and a return on equity (ROE) of 27.9% in 2023, expected to decline to 22.6% by 2025 [8][9].