CHINA PET FOODS(002891) 东兴证券·2025-04-28 08:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [3][5]. Core Views - The company demonstrates a robust global supply chain advantage and rapid growth of its proprietary brands, with significant revenue and profit increases projected for the coming years [1][3]. - The company achieved a revenue of 4.465 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-over-year growth of 19.15%, and a net profit of 394 million yuan, up 68.89% year-over-year [1]. - The overseas business is expected to maintain steady growth due to sufficient orders and unique production capacity in North America, especially amid increasing trade tensions [1][3]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 28.19%, an increase of 1.88 percentage points from 2023, and a gross margin of 31.87% in Q1 2025, up 4.02 percentage points year-over-year [2]. - Domestic revenue reached 1.414 billion yuan in 2024, a 30.26% increase year-over-year, with pet staple food revenue soaring by 91.85% [2]. - The company focuses on three major proprietary brands, with significant marketing and channel development efforts leading to expected high revenue growth [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 453 million yuan, 561 million yuan, and 709 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.54, 1.91, and 2.41 yuan [3][4]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to decrease from 35 in 2025 to 22 in 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics over time [3][4].