Proya(603605) 东吴证券·2025-04-28 10:31Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 and Q1 2025 exceeded expectations, showcasing its leading position in the cosmetics industry [9] - Revenue for 2024 is projected to reach 10.778 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.04%, while net profit is expected to be 1.552 billion yuan, up 30% [9] - The main brand continues to grow, with online sales maintaining high growth rates [9] - The gross margin has reached new highs, driven by improved sales expense ratios and better management of sub-brands [9] - The company aims to enter the top ten global cosmetics brands within ten years, indicating a strong long-term growth strategy [9] Financial Summary - Total revenue (in million yuan) is forecasted as follows: 2023A: 8,905; 2024A: 10,778; 2025E: 12,750; 2026E: 14,484; 2027E: 16,294 [1][10] - Net profit (in million yuan) is projected as follows: 2023A: 1,194; 2024A: 1,552; 2025E: 1,858; 2026E: 2,160; 2027E: 2,480 [1][10] - The latest diluted EPS is expected to be 3.92 yuan for 2024, increasing to 6.26 yuan by 2027 [1][10] - The company’s gross margin is expected to be 71.39% in 2024, improving to 73.60% by 2027 [10] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to decline from 28.73% in 2024 to 21.20% in 2027, reflecting a long-term growth strategy [10]