慕思股份（001323）：国补赋能，智能床+出海构建增量

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5] Core Views - The company is focusing on enhancing its core competitiveness through product innovation, operational efficiency, and brand upgrading, demonstrating resilience and potential for high-quality development despite adverse external conditions [1][2] - The company has achieved stable performance in its mattress segment, with revenue of 2.679 billion and a gross margin of 61.4% in 2024, indicating a solid product lineup [2] - The company is expanding its overseas presence and optimizing its channel strategy, including the acquisition of a Singaporean home brand to enhance its market competitiveness in Southeast Asia [4] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.121 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 6.7%, and a net profit of 118 million, down 16.4% [1] - For the full year 2024, the company achieved revenue of 5.603 billion, a slight increase of 0.4%, with a net profit of 767 million, down 4.4% [1] - The gross margin for 2024 was 50.1%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points, while the net margin was 13.7%, down 0.7 percentage points [1] Product and Brand Strategy - The company is enhancing its product matrix through the iteration of traditional and smart products, targeting young consumers and revitalizing existing customer demand [2] - The introduction of AI mattresses at the CES exhibition in the US has garnered international recognition, showcasing the company's commitment to smart sleep solutions [3] Channel and Operational Strategy - The company reported a revenue of 4.153 billion from distribution channels, a slight decrease of 0.3%, while e-commerce revenue increased by 6.0% to 1.093 billion [4] - The company is optimizing its traditional store network and enhancing its online marketing strategies to improve sales conversion rates [4] Profit Forecast Adjustment - The profit forecast has been adjusted to reflect ongoing operational pressures, with expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 800 million, 870 million, and 930 million respectively [5]