渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2025.04.29）-20250429

Macro and Strategy Research - The Central Political Bureau meeting emphasized the need to "make good use of existing policies," indicating sufficient incremental reserves to address current economic conditions [2][4] - The meeting acknowledged the positive economic trends and the need for high-quality development to counter external uncertainties, while also recognizing the challenges posed by domestic instability and external shocks [3][4] - Fiscal policies are set to accelerate, with a focus on increasing bond issuance and ensuring support for employment and enterprises, while monetary policies will provide additional support for the real economy [4][5] - Consumer spending remains a priority, with policies aimed at expanding domestic demand and enhancing service consumption to stabilize the economy [5][6] - The meeting highlighted the importance of fostering new productive forces and addressing key core technology challenges, particularly in the technology sector [6] - Measures to stabilize foreign trade and support struggling enterprises were reiterated, with a commitment to high-level opening-up and assistance for businesses affected by external pressures [8] Company Research Oppein Home Group (603833) - The company reported a revenue decline of 16.93% to 18.925 billion yuan in 2024, marking the first instance of both revenue and profit decline in its 30-year history [11] - Despite the revenue drop, the company improved its profitability and operating cash flow through supply chain reforms and cost management, achieving a gross margin increase of 1.75 percentage points to 35.91% [11][12] - The company’s contract liabilities saw significant growth by 96.60% year-on-year by the end of 2024, indicating potential recovery in performance as domestic furniture sales improve [12][13] Aima Technology (603529) - The company achieved a revenue of 6.232 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.82%, with net profit increasing by 25.12% to 605 million yuan [15] - The company benefited from the "old-for-new" policy, which significantly boosted sales and improved product structure, leading to enhanced profitability [15][16] - Aima's operating cash flow surged by 91.14% in Q1 2025, demonstrating effective operational efficiency and cash management [15]