SF Holding(002352) 信达证券·2025-04-29 02:06Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in domestic operations and is expanding its international business opportunities [1] - The first quarter of 2025 demonstrated resilience in operations with a revenue increase of 6.9% year-on-year, and a net profit growth of 16.87% [2][3] - The company is focusing on cost reduction and quality improvement, leading to a slight increase in net profit margins [3] - The logistics revenue increased by 7.2% year-on-year, while supply chain and international revenue grew by 9.9% [4] - The peak of capital expenditure has passed, resulting in a significant increase in free cash flow by 55.6% [5] - The company is expected to maintain strong profit growth in the coming years, with projected net profits of 119.11 billion, 142.57 billion, and 168.45 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6] Financial Summary - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 698.50 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q1 2025 was 22.34 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.87% [2] - The company’s operating cash flow for Q1 2025 was 40.62 billion, down 14.21% year-on-year [5] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 315.54 billion, with a growth rate of 10.9% [7] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 11.91 billion, with a growth rate of 17.1% [7] - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve to 14.0% by 2025 [7]