NARI-TECH(600406) 华泰证券·2025-04-29 02:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 27.04 RMB [8][11]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 64.65 billion RMB in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.60% [7]. - The company maintains a strong order backlog, with a total of 506.97 billion RMB in hand orders by the end of 2024, indicating robust business development [4]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the construction of new power systems, leading to sustained and stable growth in performance [1]. Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 57.42 billion RMB, an increase of 11.33% year-on-year, and a net profit of 7.61 billion RMB, up 5.94% year-on-year [7]. - The gross and net profit margins for 2024 are projected to be 26.66% and 14.19%, respectively, indicating stable profitability [2]. Business Segments Performance - The revenue from the smart grid, digital energy integration, and low-carbon energy segments for 2024 is expected to be 28.47 billion RMB, 12.37 billion RMB, and 12.19 billion RMB, respectively, with growth rates of 10.70%, 11.05%, and 26.43% [3]. - The industrial interconnection segment is experiencing a decline, with a revenue drop of 9.51% [3]. Financial Forecasts - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is 8.33 billion RMB, reflecting a decrease of 9.59% from previous estimates due to potential impacts from changes in the renewable energy policy [5]. - The company’s PE ratio for 2025 is estimated at 22.27 times, with a target price based on this valuation [5][23].