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千味央厨(001215):短期承压,新兴渠道为亮点

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [2][7]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 1.71% year-on-year in 2024, with total revenue reaching 1.868 billion yuan. The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 37.67% to 84 million yuan [3]. - The company is facing short-term pressure, but new channels are seen as a bright spot for growth [4][7]. - The company has expanded its customer base, increasing the number of major clients to 173, which is an 8.81% year-on-year increase [4]. Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company's revenue from direct sales was 809 million yuan, up 4.34% year-on-year, while revenue from distribution channels fell by 6.04% to 1.051 billion yuan [4]. - The company’s gross margin for 2024 was 23.66%, a slight decrease of 0.04 percentage points year-on-year [6]. - The company’s sales expense ratio increased by 0.72 percentage points to 5.40% due to intensified competition and increased marketing efforts [6]. Product Performance - Revenue from fried products decreased by 11.87% to 767 million yuan, while revenue from steamed products grew by 5.41% to 393 million yuan, driven by strong demand for prepared foods [5]. - The company’s revenue from prepared dishes and other products increased by 21.84% to 360 million yuan, indicating a growing market for prepared foods [5]. Future Earnings Forecast - The company’s net profit is projected to be 93 million yuan in 2025, 104 million yuan in 2026, and 113 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 0.95, 1.07, and 1.16 yuan respectively [7][13].