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泸州老窖(000568):业绩符合预期,25年营收目标稳中求进
000568LZLJ(000568) 中邮证券·2025-04-29 02:41

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7][15] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve total operating revenue of 31.196 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 3.19% [3] - The company aims for steady growth in revenue for 2025, with projected revenues of 31.576 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 1.22% [9] - The company plans to maintain a high dividend payout ratio, with a target of at least 65% of net profit distributed as dividends [8] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company anticipates a gross profit margin of 87.54% and a net profit margin of 43.19%, with slight declines from the previous year [3] - In Q4 2024, the company reported a total operating revenue of 6.893 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.86% year-on-year [4] - The company achieved a significant increase in cash receipts, totaling 40.036 billion yuan for the year, up 26.74% year-on-year [3] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the company expects revenue from mid-to-high-end liquor to reach 27.585 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.77% [5] - The company reported a total of 1,701 domestic distributors and 85 overseas distributors by the end of 2024, showing a slight decrease in numbers [5] Earnings Forecast - The company projects net profit for 2025 to be 13.585 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 0.83% [11] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 9.23 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.61 [11]