Senior(300568) 东吴证券·2025-04-29 06:24Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to see a bottoming out of single-unit profitability, with stable profit growth anticipated in 2025 [1] - Revenue for 2024 is projected at 35.41 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.52%, while net profit is expected to decline by 36.87% to 3.64 billion yuan [9] - The company is expected to maintain a high growth rate in shipments, with a forecast of 25% growth in 2025, reaching 5 billion square meters [9] - The average selling price is expected to stabilize, with unit profitability projected to recover to 0.05-0.1 yuan per square meter in 2025 [9] Financial Projections - Total revenue is forecasted to grow from 30.13 billion yuan in 2023 to 61.93 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19.99% [1][10] - The net profit is expected to recover from 3.64 billion yuan in 2024 to 6.90 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [1][10] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 0.27 yuan in 2024 to 0.51 yuan in 2027 [1][10] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 33.59 in 2024 to 17.72 in 2027, indicating improved valuation over time [1][10]