ZYNP(002448) 东兴证券·2025-04-29 07:36Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Zhongyuan Neipei (002448.SZ) [6] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 3.31 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 15.6%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 204 million yuan, a decrease of 34.4% [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 950 million yuan, up 13.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 111 million yuan, an increase of 25.9% [1] - The gross margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 25.7% and 27.8%, respectively, with fluctuations mainly due to changes in the business structure [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s gross margin fluctuated due to changes in domestic and overseas business proportions, with overseas revenue declining by 8% in 2024 due to economic downturns, while domestic revenue increased by 49% [2] - The expense ratio for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 14.5% and 12.6%, respectively, showing a continuous decline over five years, indicating improved cost control [2] Profit Impact - The profit was significantly impacted by a goodwill impairment of 120 million yuan related to the acquisition of Incodel Holding LLC in the U.S., leading to a net profit margin of 6.2% for 2024, down 4.7 percentage points year-on-year [3] - Excluding the goodwill impairment, the net profit for 2024 would have shown an approximate growth of 10% year-on-year [3] Business Development - The company maintains stable partnerships with major clients in the cylinder sleeve and piston product sectors, with sales growth of 17% and 23% for these products in 2024 [4] - New business ventures, such as the brake system and hydrogen energy projects, are progressing, with the brake system generating revenue of 473 million yuan and a net profit of 33.73 million yuan in its first full year [4] - The company is accelerating the construction of a production base in Thailand for cylinder sleeves, aiming for an annual output of 7 million units [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 3.76 billion, 4.24 billion, and 4.78 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.6%, 12.9%, and 12.7% [5] - Projected net profits for the same years are 377 million, 433 million, and 490 million yuan, with significant growth anticipated in 2025 [5]