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江波龙(301308):海外、企业级存储业务同比高增

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 110.00 RMB [4][7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 4.256 billion RMB in Q1 2025, showing a year-over-year decline of 4.41% but a quarter-over-quarter increase of 1.45%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -152 million RMB, a significant year-over-year decline of 139.52% [1][2]. - The strong growth in overseas and enterprise-level storage businesses has been a key driver for the company's performance, despite a slow recovery in demand for consumer electronics [1][2]. - The report anticipates that the prices of DRAM and NAND products will bottom out in Q2 2025, with potential price rebounds for certain product lines as inventory levels normalize [1][3]. Summary by Sections Q1 2025 Performance - The company's overseas and enterprise-level storage businesses saw significant growth, with Lexar brand revenue increasing by 20.73% year-over-year and Zilia's revenue growing by 45.08% year-over-year. The enterprise storage product combination "eSSD+RDIMM" achieved over 200% year-over-year revenue growth [2]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 10.35%, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 14.04 percentage points, but the rate of decline has narrowed compared to previous quarters [2]. 2025 Outlook - The report highlights that major manufacturers like Micron have announced price increases starting in Q2, indicating a potential rebound in consumer storage prices. The company has successfully mass-produced its self-developed UFS 4.1 controller chip, which will facilitate the introduction of new UFS products to mobile brand customers [3]. - The integration of Zilia with Yuan Cheng Suzhou has improved operational efficiency, allowing the company to expand its overseas market presence [3]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 22.756 billion RMB, 26.700 billion RMB, and 29.568 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 30.30%, 17.33%, and 10.74% [6][18]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 668.52 million RMB in 2025, with a significant recovery from previous losses [6][18].