Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 103.86 RMB [7][8] Core Views - The company demonstrated strong earnings resilience in 2024, with revenue, net profit attributable to the parent, and net profit excluding non-recurring items reaching 15.13 billion, 1.48 billion, and 1.36 billion RMB respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 7.7%, 0.5%, and a slight decline of 0.5% [1][4] - The company is focusing on internal improvements during the off-season to prepare for the peak season, as competition in the frozen food industry has eased compared to the second half of 2024 [1][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue from frozen noodles, prepared foods, and dishes was 2.46 billion, 7.84 billion, and 4.35 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year change of -3.1%, +11.4%, and +10.8% respectively [2] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 23.3%, with a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 9.8% [3] Strategic Developments - The company is advancing its strategic products, such as the "lock-fresh" packaging, which generated over 1.5 billion RMB in revenue in 2024, marking an increase of over 18% year-on-year [2] - The company plans to enhance its relationships with major supermarkets like Yonghui and Walmart in 2025, aiming for customized offerings [2] Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 2026 are projected to be 5.47 RMB and 6.05 RMB, respectively, with an introduction of a 2027 EPS forecast of 6.88 RMB [4][6] - The company’s estimated revenue for 2025 is 16.16 billion RMB, reflecting a growth rate of 6.83% [6]
安井食品:24年盈利韧性凸显,期待旺季表现-20250429