supor(002032) 海通国际·2025-04-29 09:00Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 68.77, representing a potential upside of 9% from the current price of RMB 55.17 [1][8]. Core Insights - The company's performance in Q1 2025 shows stable growth, with revenue reaching RMB 5.79 billion, up 7.59% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at RMB 497 million, up 5.82% year-on-year [1][8]. - External sales growth is expected to outpace internal sales, driven by high demand and national subsidies, contributing to a positive outlook for 2025 [1][8]. - The gross profit margin (GPM) decreased by 0.51 percentage points to 23.91% in Q1 2025, while overall profitability remains stable despite increased competition in the domestic market [1][8]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023A: RMB 21,304 million - 2024A: RMB 22,427 million - 2025E: RMB 23,821 million - 2026E: RMB 25,073 million - 2027E: RMB 26,392 million - The year-on-year growth rates are 5.6%, 5.3%, 6.2%, 5.3%, and 5.3% respectively [3]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be: - 2023A: RMB 2,180 million - 2024A: RMB 2,244 million - 2025E: RMB 2,397 million - 2026E: RMB 2,557 million - 2027E: RMB 2,708 million - The year-on-year growth rates are 5.4%, 3.0%, 6.8%, 6.7%, and 5.9% respectively [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2025E: RMB 2.99 - 2026E: RMB 3.19 - 2027E: RMB 3.38 [3][8]. Company Outlook - For 2025, the company anticipates selling RMB 7.37 billion worth of goods to SEB, reflecting a 5% year-on-year increase, supported by trade-in programs and market share growth [1][8].