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苏州银行(002966):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:量价均衡发展,资产质量稳定

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for Suzhou Bank, with a target price of 9.07 CNY, compared to the current price of 8.11 CNY [1]. Core Views - Suzhou Bank has achieved balanced growth in both volume and price, with stable asset quality. The bank reported a revenue of 12.224 billion CNY for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.01%, and a net profit of 5.068 billion CNY, up 10.16% year-on-year. The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 0.83% in Q1 2025, while the provision coverage ratio decreased by 36 percentage points to 447% [1][6]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profit Growth: In Q1 2025, the bank's revenue was 3.25 billion CNY, a 0.76% increase year-on-year. The net profit for the same period was 1.554 billion CNY, up 6.8% year-on-year. The annual revenue growth for 2025-2027 is projected at 1.6%, 8.2%, and 9.4% respectively, while net profit growth is expected to be 7.4%, 10.4%, and 10.8% [1][7]. - Asset Quality: The NPL ratio remained stable at 0.83% in Q1 2025, with a slight increase in the annualized NPL generation rate to 0.84%. The bank's provision coverage ratio, although decreased, remains high at 447% [6][9]. - Loan and Deposit Growth: Loan growth in Q1 2025 was 12.7%, while deposit growth was 12.6%. The bank is focusing on maintaining a balance between price and volume, with a slight slowdown in growth rates [6][8]. Financial Indicators - Key Financial Metrics: For 2024, the total revenue is projected at 12.224 billion CNY, with a net profit of 5.068 billion CNY. The bank's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 6.13, and the price-to-book (P/B) ratio is 0.71 [7][11]. - Capital Adequacy: The core capital adequacy ratio is expected to be 9.77% in 2024, increasing to 10.45% in 2025. The bank's leverage ratio is projected to be 12.55 in 2024 [10][11].