东软集团（600718）：看好“AI+医疗”商业化持续加速

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 16.17 RMB [8][9]. Core Views - The report highlights the promising growth potential of the "AI + Healthcare" sector, with the company expected to benefit from the accelerating commercialization of AI applications in this field [2][4]. - The company has signed new AI application contracts worth 6.78 billion RMB in 2024, with 4.88 billion RMB (72%) specifically in the AI + Healthcare domain, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 106% [2]. - The company's operational quality is improving, with a record high operating cash flow of 8.55 billion RMB in 2024, indicating effective cost control and enhanced profitability [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 11.56 billion RMB (up 9.64% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.63 billion RMB (down 14.70% year-on-year) [1]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 24.01%, slightly down by 0.19 percentage points, primarily due to a decline in the gross margin of the smart connected vehicle business [3]. Business Strategy - The company has initiated a new intelligent strategy in 2024, focusing on AI upgrades across its business segments, particularly in the AI + Healthcare area, where it has established a competitive advantage [2]. - The company aims to expand its AI applications into automotive, government, and enterprise sectors, leveraging its existing capabilities [2]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are set at 13.31 billion RMB, 15.87 billion RMB, and 19.57 billion RMB, respectively, with net profits expected to reach 4.34 billion RMB, 5.25 billion RMB, and 7.16 billion RMB [5][20]. - The report anticipates that the AI business will become a new growth driver in 2025, contributing significantly to overall revenue [4]. Valuation Metrics - The company is valued at a target price of 16.17 RMB, with a projected PE ratio of 27.95 for 2025 [5][9]. - The report provides a comparative analysis of the company's valuation against peers in the smart vehicle and other business segments, indicating a favorable position in the market [13][14].