XfmGroup(603225) 开源证券·2025-04-29 12:57Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][5] Core Views - The company reported a Q1 2025 revenue of 145.57 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.73%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 18.65%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.00 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.35% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 13.66% [5][6] - The analysts maintain the profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 1.609 billion, 2.049 billion, and 2.552 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.06, 1.34, and 1.67 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 10.4, 8.2, and 6.6 times for the respective years [5][6] - The company is expected to benefit from steady demand growth and an optimized supply structure, leading to a recovery in long filament profitability [5][6] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 67.97 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.3%. The net profit is expected to be 1.609 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 46.2% [7][9] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 6.8% in 2025 to 8.0% by 2027, while the net margin is projected to rise from 2.4% to 3.4% over the same period [7][9] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to increase from 8.5% in 2025 to 11.0% in 2027 [7][9]