Workflow
江苏银行:2025年一季报点评:量价双优、净利息收入高增,资产质量保持优异-20250429

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Jiangsu Bank [5][9]. Core Views - Jiangsu Bank demonstrated strong performance in Q1 2025 with revenue and net profit growth of +6.2% and +8.2% year-on-year, respectively, while the annualized weighted average ROE increased to 16.5% [1][2]. - The bank's net interest income grew significantly by +21.9% year-on-year, supported by a stable net interest margin and a substantial increase in loan issuance [2][3]. - Asset quality remains robust, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.86%, down 3 basis points from the previous quarter, and a provision coverage ratio of 343.5% [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Jiangsu Bank's total assets and loans increased by +12.8% and +8% year-on-year, respectively, with new loan issuance reaching 166.8 billion, accounting for over 80% of last year's total increase [2][5]. - The bank's net interest margin for Q1 2025 was estimated at 1.58%, reflecting a 12 basis point increase from Q4 2024, primarily due to a significant reduction in funding costs [3][5]. Asset Quality - The overall asset quality improved, with the NPL ratio at 0.86% and a decrease in the proportion of overdue loans [4][5]. - The bank increased its provision for credit losses by +28.2% year-on-year, maintaining a high level of provision coverage [4][5]. Investment Outlook - The report forecasts net profit growth rates of 10.9%, 11.5%, and 11.7% for 2025-2027, with corresponding book value per share (BVPS) estimates of 14.68, 16.86, and 19.28 yuan per share [5][10]. - The current share price of 10.13 yuan corresponds to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.69 for 2025, indicating a favorable valuation given the bank's strong fundamentals [5][10].