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齐心集团(002301):2024A、2025Q1点评:B2B企稳回升,好视通轻装上阵,品牌新文具稳步推进

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" and maintained [7] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve total revenue of 11.397 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 3%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to decline by 18% to 63 million yuan, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to decrease by 21% to 59 million yuan [2][4] - In Q4 2024, the company anticipates total revenue of 3.001 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 10%. The net profit is expected to be a loss of 96 million yuan [2][4] - For Q1 2025, total revenue is projected to be 2.212 billion yuan, with a slight year-on-year increase of 1%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 49 million yuan, showing a decrease of 1% [2][4] Summary by Sections Business Performance - The B2B business is estimated to achieve stable growth in 2024, contributing to a total revenue increase of 3%. The revenue from the B2B segment is expected to be 11.352 billion yuan, driven by digital transformation and the use of AI tools to optimize business processes [11] - The SAAS business is projected to generate 4.5 million yuan in revenue, a decrease of 42%, as the company focuses on the smart education sector [11] Profitability - The company's net profit for 2024 is expected to be 63 million yuan, with a net profit of 110 million yuan after excluding goodwill impairment [11] - The gross margin for 2024 is projected to be 8.6%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points. The gross margins for B2B and SAAS businesses are expected to be 8.58% and 10.40%, respectively [11] Future Outlook - In Q4 2024, the company anticipates revenue pressure across all business segments, leading to losses. The B2B revenue is expected to decline by 10%, while SAAS revenue is projected to drop by 52% [11] - For Q1 2025, the company expects a recovery in B2B revenue and positive profitability from the good vision business adjustments [11] - The company aims to optimize its B2B customer structure and enhance its MRO share, leveraging AI for cost reduction and efficiency improvements [11]