Xingyu Co.,Ltd(601799) 华泰证券·2025-04-30 02:05Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 3.095 billion RMB, representing a year-over-year increase of 28.28% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 23.16%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 322 million RMB, up 32.68% year-over-year but down 25.28% quarter-over-quarter [1][2] - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, driven by new projects and increased market share among domestic brands. Several new models are anticipated to become bestsellers, and the company is actively expanding its overseas presence [1][4] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was stable at 18.83%, with a slight increase in R&D expense ratio, indicating a robust pipeline of projects [3] - The company is well-positioned in the smart vehicle market and is accelerating its global expansion, with production capacity in Serbia and new entities established in Mexico and the USA [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 3.095 billion RMB, with a year-over-year growth of 28.28% and a quarter-over-quarter decline of 23.16%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 322 million RMB, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 32.68% [1][2] - The company expects revenue growth to continue, with projected revenues of 17.656 billion RMB, 22.823 billion RMB, and 29.330 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7] Profitability and Costs - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 18.83%, showing stability compared to previous periods. The R&D expense ratio increased to 6.0%, indicating a strong focus on ongoing projects [3] - The report forecasts net profits of 1.946 billion RMB, 2.512 billion RMB, and 3.180 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7] Market Position and Growth Potential - The company has gained significant market share among domestic brands and is expected to benefit from the launch of several new models in 2025, which are likely to be popular [2][4] - The company is expanding its global footprint, with production capabilities in Europe and plans for further opportunities in North America [4] Valuation - The target price is set at 176.20 RMB, with a projected PE ratio of 26 times for 2025, reflecting a 30% premium over comparable companies [5][9]