Hundsun(600570) 东吴证券·2025-04-30 02:20Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 report shows a decline in total revenue by 14% year-on-year to 1 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 186% year-on-year to 31 million yuan [1] - The decline in revenue is attributed to reduced income from asset management technology services, risk and platform technology services, and operational and institutional technology services [7] - Investment income saw a significant increase of 2635% year-on-year to 55 million yuan, contributing to the overall profit despite the revenue drop [7] Revenue and Profit Analysis - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 7,281 million yuan, with a projected decline in 2024A to 6,581 million yuan, followed by a recovery to 7,551 million yuan in 2025E [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1,424 million yuan in 2023A, decreasing to 1,043 million yuan in 2024A, and then recovering to 1,199 million yuan in 2025E [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023A is 0.75 yuan, projected to decrease to 0.55 yuan in 2024A, and then increase to 0.63 yuan in 2025E [1] Business Segment Performance - Wealth technology service revenue decreased by 5% year-on-year to 235 million yuan in Q1 2025 [7] - Asset management technology service revenue saw a significant decline of 34% year-on-year to 187 million yuan [7] - Operational and institutional technology service revenue decreased by 9% year-on-year to 212 million yuan [7] - Risk and platform technology service revenue decreased by 43% year-on-year to 56 million yuan [7] Cost Structure - Overall costs decreased, with operating costs down by 2% year-on-year to 362 million yuan [7] - Sales expenses decreased by 32% year-on-year to 85 million yuan, with a sales expense ratio of 8% [7] - Management expenses decreased by 11% year-on-year to 145 million yuan, with a management expense ratio of 14% [7] - Research and development expenses decreased by 11% year-on-year to 500 million yuan, with a research expense ratio of 49% [7] Future Outlook - The company maintains its previous performance forecasts, expecting net profits of 1.2 billion yuan, 1.4 billion yuan, and 1.7 billion yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to P/E ratios of 46, 40, and 33 times respectively [7] - The overall recovery of the capital market is anticipated, although significant growth in technology investment from financial institutions has not yet been observed [7]