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立讯精密(002475):业绩符合预期,横向拓展+垂直整合+全球化布局持续强化竞争力

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a maintained rating for the next six months [6][18]. Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 is in line with expectations, driven by horizontal expansion, vertical integration, and a strengthened global layout [2][3]. - The company achieved a revenue of 268.795 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-over-year growth of 15.91%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 13.366 billion yuan, up 22.03% year-over-year [2][3]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 61.788 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 17.90%, with a net profit of 3.044 billion yuan, up 23.17% year-over-year [3]. Financial Performance Summary - The company expects to achieve a net profit of 6.475 to 6.745 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-over-year growth of 20% to 25% [2]. - The revenue breakdown by business segments for 2024 includes: - Computers: 9.002 billion yuan (yoy +20.15%) - Automotive: 13.758 billion yuan (yoy +48.69%) - Communications: 18.360 billion yuan (yoy +26.29%) - Consumer Electronics: 224.094 billion yuan (yoy +13.65%) - Others: 3.581 billion yuan (yoy +4.13%) [2]. - The gross profit margins for these segments were 18.9%, 16.1%, 16.4%, 9.1%, and 18.9% respectively, with slight variations year-over-year [2]. Business Segment Insights - The consumer electronics segment is focusing on horizontal expansion and vertical integration, aiming to enhance long-term growth potential through a strategy that includes "scene ecology, AI empowerment, and global collaboration" [3]. - The automotive segment continues to show strong growth, with new projects expected to ramp up production in 2025, particularly in high-voltage and high-speed wiring harnesses [5]. - The communications business is developing a complete technology matrix, with significant advancements in high-speed cable products and power management solutions expected to double revenue and profit in 2025 [4]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 311.802 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 16% [11]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 16.484 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 23.33% [11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to reach 2.27 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.42 [11].