Lier Chemical (002258) 东兴证券·2025-04-30 10:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Lier Chemical [2][4]. Core Views - Lier Chemical reported a significant year-on-year revenue growth of 49.99% in Q1 2025, reaching 2.086 billion yuan, and a net profit increase of 219.90%, amounting to 153 million yuan [3]. - The growth in performance is attributed to the increase in sales volume and prices of certain products, although the core product, glyphosate, remains at a low price level, awaiting recovery [3]. - The agricultural pesticide industry is currently at the bottom of its cycle, with increased competition and supply exceeding demand due to new production capacities and inventory buildup [3]. - Positive factors for the industry's healthy development are gradually increasing, with some product prices rising, but competition remains fierce for certain pesticide products [3]. - The report anticipates that after a period of capacity optimization and consolidation, companies without competitive advantages will exit the market, leading to increased industry concentration [3]. - The global agricultural pesticide supply chain is expected to be restructured with the integration of major agrochemical giants, providing new opportunities for second and third-tier companies [3]. Company Overview - Lier Chemical specializes in the research, production, and sales of efficient, low-toxicity, and low-residue pesticides, including herbicides, fungicides, and insecticides, with over 40 active ingredients and more than 100 formulations [7]. - The company is a leading player in the glyphosate market, with a significant focus on the precision glyphosate segment, which is expected to see increased demand due to its stronger efficacy and alignment with global agricultural trends [4]. - Lier Chemical has established long-term strategic partnerships with multinational companies to promote the development of precision glyphosate, positioning itself for greater market opportunities in the future [4]. Financial Forecasts - The report projects net profits for Lier Chemical to be 429 million yuan, 591 million yuan, and 766 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.54 yuan, 0.74 yuan, and 0.96 yuan [4][6]. - The current P/E ratios are forecasted to be 19, 14, and 11 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4].