JXAC(600495) 山西证券·2025-05-21 08:23Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Add-A" rating to the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [1]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 1.314 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.40%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 23.08 million yuan, up 13.39% year-on-year [4][5]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 373 million yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 52.67%, and a net profit of 7.82 million yuan, indicating a turnaround from losses [4]. - The company maintains a leading position in the domestic market for railway vehicle and core component manufacturing, particularly in the production of railway axles [5][6]. Financial Performance - The company’s basic earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 0.02 yuan, with a net profit forecasted to grow from 26 million yuan in 2025 to 33 million yuan by 2027, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.5% [9][11]. - The operating income is expected to increase from 1.353 billion yuan in 2025 to 1.562 billion yuan in 2027, with a year-on-year growth rate of 8.7% [11][15]. - The company’s net asset return rate (ROE) is projected to improve from 0.71% in 2024 to 1.0% by 2027 [8][13]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on expanding its high-speed train axle production, with successful trials of the 350 km/h axle for the "Fuxing" train, which is now in regular operation [6][7]. - The company is also diversifying into new industries such as defense equipment and smart firefighting, aiming to enhance its growth trajectory [6][9]. - The actual controller of the company, China Weapon Industry Group, and its major shareholder, Jinxi Group, are expected to increase their holdings, reflecting confidence in the company's future [7][8].