GDPD(600795) ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-05-22 00:20Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 179.18 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 1.00% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 75.28% to 9.83 billion yuan [17][11] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 39.81 billion yuan, down 12.61% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.81 billion yuan, up 1.45% [17] - The company is experiencing pressure on electricity prices but is seeing improvements in costs, awaiting recovery in downstream electricity demand [1] Summary by Sections Overall Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 179.18 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.00% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.83 billion yuan, an increase of 75.28% [17][11] - The basic earnings per share were 0.551 yuan, up 75.48% [17] Thermal Power Business - The average coal price for 2024 was 922.17 yuan per ton, down 1.37% year-on-year [20] - The thermal power segment contributed a net profit of 4.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.05% [27] - As of March 31, 2025, the company had a thermal power installed capacity of 75.63 million kilowatts, with 8.35 million kilowatts under construction [31] Hydropower Business - In 2024, hydropower generation was 59.47 billion kilowatt-hours, an increase of 7.93% year-on-year [32] - The hydropower segment contributed a net profit of 1.24 billion yuan, a decrease of 33.0% due to impairment provisions [37] - As of March 31, 2025, the hydropower installed capacity was 14.95 million kilowatts, with 4.92 million kilowatts under construction [41] New Energy Business - Wind power generation in 2024 was 20.18 billion kilowatt-hours, up 7.01%, while solar power generation was 11.28 billion kilowatt-hours, up 95.89% [4] - The new energy segment contributed a net profit of 1.38 billion yuan, down 21.1% year-on-year [48] - As of March 31, 2025, the installed capacity for wind power was 9.91 million kilowatts and for solar power was 15.90 million kilowatts [51] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is 7.50 billion yuan, a decrease of 23.67% year-on-year, with expected earnings per share of 0.42 yuan [11][53] - The company is expected to maintain strong profitability due to sufficient long-term coal supply and overall robust performance as a leading power enterprise [53]